Anil Singhvi Market Strategy: Zee Business Managing Editor Anil Singhvi expects support for the headline Nifty50 index at 24,400-24,500 levels and a strong buy zone at 24,275-24,365 levels on Wednesday, June 4. For the Nifty Bank, the market wizard expects support at 55,250-55,400 levels and a strong buy zone at 55,000-55,200 levels.
How market guru Anil Singhvi sums up trade setup:
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Global: Positive
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FII: Negative
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DII: Positive
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F&O: Neutral
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Sentiment: Cautious
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Trend: Positive
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FII long positions at 17 per cent vs 19 per cent before Tuesday's session
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Nifty put-call ratio (PCR) at 0.65 vs 0.82
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Nifty Bank PCR at 0.87 vs 1.04
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Volatility index India VIX down 3.5 per cent at 16.55
The market wizard expects a higher zone at 24,675-24,750 levels and a strong sell area at 24,825-24,950 levels in the headline index.
In the banking index, he expects a higher zone at 55,750-55,875 levels and a strong sell zone at 55,950-56,100 levels.
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Why are FIIs selling so much?
- FIIs went on a major selling spree in the first three days of the June series
- Yesterday alone, they sold Rs 8,039 Cr across cash, stocks, and index futures
- Domestic funds, however, bought Rs 5,908 Cr—marking the 11th straight day of buying
- But there’s no strong or clear reason behind the FIIs’ selling
- Nifty levels have now surged from 22,000 to nearly 25,000
- Maybe they feel the market has already priced in most of the positives
- After a solid rally, even the rupee has now stabilised
Hard to sustain if market opens with a gap-up?
- FIIs’ selling is exerting consistent pressure at higher levels
- Despite heavy buying from domestic funds, markets can’t hold up
- Ongoing block deals are weighing down the market
- Had this money come in as regular buying instead of block deals, the market would’ve rallied
Which event could be the game changer?
- RBI policy on June 6 could be decisive
- A 0.5% rate cut could trigger a strong rally
- A 0.25% cut with cautious commentary may lead to selling
Chance to buy shares cheap in block deals?
- Four big block deals lined up today
- AB Fashion block deal may not yield gains—best to avoid
- If Alkem Labs’ block deal comes at a good discount, it could be a trading opportunity
- Tata Tech could be a strong investment at block deal or floor price levels
Will the rally in mid- and small-cap stocks continue?
- Even in this range-bound market, mid- and small-cap stocks remain impressively strong
- No cause for concern unless Nifty closes below 24,450
- Selling pressure from FIIs is mostly limited to large-cap stocks
- Hence, the market's focus is shifting more towards mid- and small-caps
- For now, stay focused on sector- and stock-specific action
- Good buying opportunities in mid-cap PSU banks, PSU NBFCs, FMCG, and infra stocks
ANIL SINGHVI MARKET STRATEGY | How to trade Nifty Bank and Nifty50?
For existing long positions:
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Nifty Intraday n Closing SL 24450
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Bank Nifty Intraday n Closing SL 55350
For existing short positions:
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Nifty Intraday n Closing SL 24900
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Bank Nifty Intraday SL 56100 n Closing SL 55925
For new positions in Nifty50:
- Aggressive Traders Sell Nifty in 24750-24875 range: Strict SL 25000 Tgt 24675, 24600, 24550, 24500, 24465, 24400
- Aggressive Traders Buy Nifty: Strict SL 24450 Tgt 24600, 24675, 24700, 24750, 24800, 24850
For new positions in Nifty Bank:
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Aggressive Traders Buy Bank Nifty in 55250-55400 range: Strict SL 55000 Tgt 55475, 55575, 55650, 55750, 55875, 55950, 56075
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Aggressive Traders Sell Bank Nifty in 55900-56100 range: Strict SL 56200 Tgt 55825, 55750, 55650, 55575, 55500, 55400
Stocks in F&O ban
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Already in ban: Manappuram Finance
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New in ban: None
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Out of ban: None