Anil Singhvi Market Strategy Today: Zee Business Managing Editor Anil Singhvi expects support for the Nifty50 index at 24,850-24,925 levels and a stronger support zone at 24,650-24,800 levels on Tuesday, August 26. For the Nifty Bank, the market wizard expects support to emerge at 54,900-55,050 levels and a stronger support zone at 54,575-54,700 levels.
How market guru Anil Singhvi sums up trade setup:
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Global: Negative
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FII: Negative
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DII: Positive
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F&O: Neutral
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Sentiment: Neutral
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Trend: Neutral
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FII long positions at 13 per cent vs 11 per cent before Monday's session
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Nifty put-call ratio (PCR) at 0.87 vs 0.73
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Nifty Bank PCR at 0.56 vs 0.59
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Volatility index India VIX unchanged at 11.76
The market wizard expects a higher zone at 25,015-25,085 levels and a strong sell zone at 25,150-25,250 levels for the headline index.
For the banking index, he expects a higher zone at 55,300-55,500 levels and a strong sell zone at 55,550-55,750 levels.
Trump Tariff Turmoil | Dalal Street gearing up for a crash?
- Tariffs were already known; only the official notification has come now
- A deferment in tariffs would have been a surprise
- Now that they are imposed, a mild reaction might occur
- The last time when such news came, the market did not take a major hit
- Some sectors will be impacted, such as auto ancillaries, gems and jewellery, electronics, shrimp and textiles
Additional 25% tariff imposed, taking total duty on India to 50%... What next?
- US President Donald Trump has done what he wanted to do
- Now the entire focus shifts to market reaction in India
- There's a golden chance to bring big reforms
- The tariff issue will settle in a few weeks or months
- However, the impact of reforms will remain permanent
- The economy is still benefiting from reforms taken during the pandemic
- PM Narendra Modi has a strong intent towards reforms
- This can be a great opportunity to turn crisis into opportunity
Do markets rally during 'Ganeshotsav'?
- Typically, Dalal Street stages strong moves during Ganeshotsav
- In the past 6 years, Nifty rose in 4 years and Nifty Bank in 5 years
- The only exception was in 2023
- It is good that the tariff news came before Ganeshotsav
- Regardless of where the market closes on Tuesday, the risk of a fall during Ganeshotsav will reduce
Dalal Street during Ganeshotsav
Here's a brief history of Nifty50 and Nifty Bank moves during Ganeshotsav in the past few years:
Year | Nifty50 | Nifty Bank |
2019 | -0.40% | 1.40% |
2020 | 0.90% | 6.80% |
2021 | 1.20% | 3.10% |
2022 | 0.40% | 2.20% |
2023 | -3% | -3.70% |
2024 | 2.30% | 3.20% |
Key levels to track in Nifty50 and Nifty Bank
- After 24,850, the next major support for the Nifty50 is in the 24,475-24,635 range
- Since August 18, Nifty will attempt to fill the big gap at 24,631
- Nifty above 25,100, Nifty Bank above 55,750 will be safe
- Nifty traded within Friday’s range, searching for direction
- Nifty in a tight 500-point range for six days
- Nifty Bank took support at 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) of 55,026 for the 8th day in a row
- Nifty IT index at a one-month high
- FII index futures long positions at a one-month high of 13.42 per cent
- Crude oil at a three-week high
- Rupee at a 10-day low vs dollar
ANIL SINGHVI MARKET STRATEGY | How to trade Nifty Bank and Nifty50?
For existing long positions:
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Nifty intraday stop loss at 24,800 and closing stop loss at 24,850
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Nifty Bank intraday stop loss at 54,850 and closing stop loss at 55,000
For existing short positions:
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Nifty intraday and closing stop loss at 25,100
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Nifty Bank intraday stop loss at 55,350 and closing stop loss at 55,550
For new positions in Nifty50:
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Sell Nifty with a stop loss at 25,100 for targets of 24,925, 24,875, 24,850, 24,800, 24,725, 24,665 and 24,635
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Aggressive traders can buy Nifty in the 24,635-24,850 range with a strict stop loss at 24,500 for targets of 24,900, 24,925, 24,975, 25,015, 25,050 and 25,085
For new positions in Nifty Bank:
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Aggressive traders can sell Nifty Bank with a strict stop loss at 55,350 for targets of 55,000, 54,925, 54,700, 54,575, 54,500 and 54,375
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Aggressive traders can buy Nifty Bank in the 54,900-55,000 range with a strict stop loss at 54,800 for targets of 55,100, 55,150, 55,300, 55,350, 55,500 and 55,600
Stocks in F&O ban
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Out of ban: PG Electro
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Already in ban: RBL Bank, Titagarh
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New in ban: None
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