Anil Singhvi Market Strategy Today (August 26): How to trade Nifty 50, Nifty Bank today? Key levels to track

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Anil Singhvi Market Strategy Today: Zee Business Managing Editor Anil Singhvi expects support for the Nifty50 index at 24,850-24,925 levels and a stronger support zone at 24,650-24,800 levels on Tuesday, August 26. For the Nifty Bank, the market wizard expects support to emerge at 54,900-55,050 levels and a stronger support zone at 54,575-54,700 levels. 

How market guru Anil Singhvi sums up trade setup:

  • Global: Negative

  • FII: Negative

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  • DII: Positive

  • F&O: Neutral

  • Sentiment: Neutral

  • Trend: Neutral

  • FII long positions at 13 per cent vs 11 per cent before Monday's session

  • Nifty put-call ratio (PCR) at 0.87 vs 0.73

  • Nifty Bank PCR at 0.56 vs 0.59

  • Volatility index India VIX unchanged at 11.76

The market wizard expects a higher zone at 25,015-25,085 levels and a strong sell zone at 25,150-25,250 levels for the headline index.

For the banking index, he expects a higher zone at 55,300-55,500 levels and a strong sell zone at 55,550-55,750 levels.​

Trump Tariff Turmoil | Dalal Street gearing up for a crash?

  • Tariffs were already known; only the official notification has come now
  • A deferment in tariffs would have been a surprise
  • Now that they are imposed, a mild reaction might occur
  • The last time when such news came, the market did not take a major hit
  • Some sectors will be impacted, such as auto ancillaries, gems and jewellery, electronics, shrimp and textiles

Additional 25% tariff imposed, taking total duty on India to 50%... What next?

  • US President Donald Trump has done what he wanted to do
  • Now the entire focus shifts to market reaction in India
  • There's a golden chance to bring big reforms
  • The tariff issue will settle in a few weeks or months
  • However, the impact of reforms will remain permanent
  • The economy is still benefiting from reforms taken during the pandemic
  • PM Narendra Modi has a strong intent towards reforms
  • This can be a great opportunity to turn crisis into opportunity

Do markets rally during 'Ganeshotsav'?

  • Typically, Dalal Street stages strong moves during Ganeshotsav
  • In the past 6 years, Nifty rose in 4 years and Nifty Bank in 5 years
  • The only exception was in 2023 
  • It is good that the tariff news came before Ganeshotsav
  • Regardless of where the market closes on Tuesday, the risk of a fall during Ganeshotsav will reduce

Dalal Street during Ganeshotsav

Here's a brief history of Nifty50 and Nifty Bank moves during Ganeshotsav in the past few years:

Year  Nifty50  Nifty Bank
2019 -0.40% 1.40%
2020 0.90% 6.80%
2021 1.20% 3.10%
2022 0.40% 2.20%
2023 -3% -3.70%
2024 2.30% 3.20%

Key levels to track in Nifty50 and Nifty Bank

  • After 24,850, the next major support for the Nifty50 is in the 24,475-24,635 range
  • Since August 18, Nifty will attempt to fill the big gap at 24,631
  • Nifty above 25,100, Nifty Bank above 55,750 will be safe
  • Nifty traded within Friday’s range, searching for direction
  • Nifty in a tight 500-point range for six days
  • Nifty Bank took support at 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) of 55,026 for the 8th day in a row
  • Nifty IT index at a one-month high
  • FII index futures long positions at a one-month high of 13.42 per cent
  • Crude oil at a three-week high 
  • Rupee at a 10-day low vs dollar

ANIL SINGHVI MARKET STRATEGY | How to trade Nifty Bank and Nifty50?

For existing long positions:

  • Nifty intraday stop loss at 24,800 and closing stop loss at 24,850

  • Nifty Bank intraday stop loss at 54,850 and closing stop loss at 55,000

For existing short positions:

  • Nifty intraday and closing stop loss at 25,100

  • Nifty Bank intraday stop loss at 55,350 and closing stop loss at 55,550

For new positions in Nifty50:

  • Sell Nifty with a stop loss at 25,100 for targets of 24,925, 24,875, 24,850, 24,800, 24,725, 24,665 and 24,635

  • Aggressive traders can buy Nifty in the 24,635-24,850 range with a strict stop loss at 24,500 for targets of 24,900, 24,925, 24,975, 25,015, 25,050 and 25,085

For new positions in Nifty Bank:

  • Aggressive traders can sell Nifty Bank with a strict stop loss at 55,350 for targets of 55,000, 54,925, 54,700, 54,575, 54,500 and 54,375

  • Aggressive traders can buy Nifty Bank in the 54,900-55,000 range with a strict stop loss at 54,800 for targets of 55,100, 55,150, 55,300, 55,350, 55,500 and 55,600

Stocks in F&O ban

  • Out of ban: PG Electro

  • Already in ban: RBL Bank, Titagarh 

  • New in ban: None

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