Payrolls faced massive downward revisions due to faulty birth-death model – Pantheon Macroeconomics

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The preliminary benchmark revision to March 2024 payrolls has been dramatically revised downward by 911,000 jobs, primarily due to flaws in the birth-death model used to estimate employment changes, according to Samuel Tombs, chief U.S. economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

“The

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