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The recent move by US President Donald Trump to double the levy on India from existing 25 per cent, pushing it total to 50 per cent along with the existing Most Favoured Nation (MFN) import duties, is set to hit several Indian export sectors hard, according to a report by the Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI).
The report highlighted that while the impact will vary across sectors, some of India's largest export categories may see a sharp fall in shipments to the US.
India now among most taxed US trade partners
GTRI stated, "This decision makes India one of the most heavily taxed US trading partners, worse off than China (30 per cent) or Vietnam (20 per cent), and on par with Brazil".
Very high impact sectors include Shrimps, Organic Chemical, Carpets, Apparel, Diamond and Gold Jewellery.
Shrimp, chemicals, carpets face steep duty
The report also stated that exports in certain sectors could drop by 50-70 per cent.
Shrimps, which brought in $2 billion from the US in FY2025 and account for 9.52 per cent of US shrimp imports, will now face a 50 per cent tariff along with existing antidumping and countervailing duties of about 10 per cent. Competitors like Canada and Chile enjoy much lower tariffs.
Indian chemicals and carpet industry at disadvantage
Organic chemicals worth $2.7 billion exported from India will now face a total tariff of 54 per cent, compared to just 15 per cent for Ireland and 39 per cent for Switzerland.
Carpets, where India holds the largest US market share at 35.48 per cent with exports of $1.2 billion, will be hit by a 52.9 per cent duty, making them less competitive against Turkey and China.
Apparel, made-ups and jewellery sectors to be hardest hit
The apparel sector will also suffer heavily. Knitted apparel exports worth $2.7 billion will face a 63.9 per cent tariff, while woven apparel worth the same value will attract 60.3 per cent duty.
Made-ups, including bed linen and towels, will face a 59 per cent duty on $3 billion worth of exports. Diamonds, gold, and jewellery, India's top export sector to the US at $10 billion, will now be taxed at 52.1 per cent. Machinery and mechanical appliances worth $6.7 billion will see a 51.3 per cent duty, and furniture worth $1.1 billion will attract 52.3 per cent.
High impacting sectors, Steel, aluminium, and copper exports worth $4.7 billion will face a 51.7 per cent tariff, while auto parts worth $2.6 billion will be taxed at 26 per cent.
Pharma, smartphones and petroleum remain unaffected
Some key sectors remain unaffected, as they are exempted from 50 per cent duty. Pharmaceuticals worth $9.8 billion, smartphones worth $10.6 billion, and petroleum products worth $4.1 billion will continue to face zero or minimal tariffs, giving them a competitive edge.
The report also warned that the high tariffs could significantly hurt India's market share in the US for several sectors, especially those already facing strong competition from countries with lower or no tariffs.
English (US) ·